Draft Day is finally here....

Now we'll find out just how badly Ted Thompson will screw this up.

The Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel is reporting this morning that Maryland Tight End Vernon Davis will be the Packers pick.

Oh, boy.

This is the kind of pick that makes you drive home from your draft parties with your head out the window.

Let's bring you up-to-date on Mr. Davis.

He's famous for running a sub-4.4 40-yard dash at the Combine.

Wheeee!

He was 6-3¼ and 254 at the combine, ran 4.38, jumped 42 and 10-8, and scored 20 on the Wonderlic. Pretty numbers. But can he run block? Seems kind of important in December in Green Bay.

4.38 was on turf indoors. Think he'll run 4.38 on December 15th with a 20 mile per hour north wind at Lambeau?

Think again.

If Teddy Wingnut wants Davis, that's fine. But not at pick 5. The only tight ends chosen at No. 5 were Riley Odoms by Denver in 1972 and Mike Ditka by Chicago in 1961. Anybody ever remember seeing that hilarious SNL skit about Riley Odoms? Me either.

My point is this. Davis may be the next Tony Gonzalez. He could be the next Antonio Gates. But at pick five, he better-damned-not-be the next Tyrone Davis. And the risk of getting Tyrone Davis is much higher. After all, how much does the tight end contribute in terms of offensive numbers if he's just a pass catcher? Bubba Franks is wonderful inside the three-yard-line. Everywhere else? Not so much. Plus, you just signed Bubba to a big-money extension last season? How much money can you put into that position when Davis won't be anything more than a third-down receiver and play in special situations. Bubba can block nicely, thank you. The Packers don't need another tight end.

I'm not totally sold on A.J. Hawk and if the Packers aren't either, they ought to trade down. D'Brickashaw Ferguson will be gone by five. Winston Justice wouldn't be a horrible selection down in the teens when you hedge your bet with an extra pick somewhere. And after losing Wahle, Rivera and Flanigan the last two years, you better find someone who can keep your quarterback upright or the Aaron Rodgers era will start sooner than anyone wishes.

Note: OK, I was wrong about Woodson. But I never expected Teddy Wingnut to throw that kind of money at him. I think it's worth it. Just so I don't have to look at Ahmad Carroll playing cornerback anymore.

Or hear Ed Hochuli speaking those fateful words.

Holding....Number 28....Defense....5-yard penalty....automatic first down.

I may live blog the draft....a little Commissioner's Analysis for my fantasy football leagues. After all, I have to let y'all catch up a bit in Swamp and Insanity.

Especially you West River Swampers.....Hahahahah! The trophy is mine!

Enjoy the draft.